Bitcoin dips to $75,618 after Democratic sweep, then rebounds
Markets

Bitcoin dips to $75,618 after Democratic sweep, then rebounds

November 4, 20263 min read

Bitcoin dropped to $75,618 after Democrats took control of both the US House and Senate, then won back a good part of the loss within hours. Traders holding late long positions took the hit, while the wider consequences will land on crypto legislation.

What happened to the price overnight

According to TradingView, BTC/USD started sliding before Tuesday's daily close, as the first results came in. The low on Bitstamp was $75,618, a level not seen since September 16. Within three hours the price was back at $78,039, and CoinDesk later had it near $78,300.

The dip wiped out long positions below $76,000. CoinGlass counted $288 million in long liquidations over 24 hours. That is noticeable, but far from a crash. By Wednesday morning Bitcoin was trading above $80,000 again, and Ethereum was up about 6%.

Why the market was barely surprised

Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket gave roughly 75% to a full Democratic sweep before polls closed. The result was closer to a confirmation than to news. By the numbers of Kelly Ye, head of research at Talos, bitcoin moved about 1.7% after polls closed, while options had priced 1.8%.

There was no mass wave of forced liquidations. Experts quoted by Decrypt say the same thing. The Democratic win was already in the price, and the trouble for the market comes later, in policy.

Impact: price reacted to the election by exactly as much as options had priced, so the main risk is no longer voting day but the work of the new Congress.

Who won and who lost inside crypto

CoinDesk reports that DeFi tokens led the rebound while Trump-linked coins slipped. In traditional markets the biggest losers were AI data center stocks, because several winners built campaigns on criticism of that sector. Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, told CNBC that doubts about hyperscaler spending had already lingered for weeks, and now there is a new question about data center buildouts in states with Democratic governors.

The industry also took a political hit. Former Sen. Sherrod Brown beat Jon Husted, and the crypto PAC Fairshake was left with nothing. In total the industry spent about $176 million on this election, and the result makes the question of return on that money sharp.

What the new Congress changes for crypto laws

In January 2027 Democrats get the House committees and the power to investigate the Trump administration. Cointelegraph's read is that the new Senate lineup could change the path of the CLARITY Act, reshuffle committee leadership and bring closer scrutiny of the president's crypto businesses.

Trump himself sounded conciliatory in The Wall Street Journal. We will work with the Democrats, and we can get along. A lawyer at 1inch expects regulators, not Congress, to set policy either way. For the market that means lower odds of a quick law and higher odds of decisions made through agencies.

What to watch over the next few days

The $75,618 low coincided with the 50-week simple moving average, which has held as support since mid-September. Keith Alan of Material Indicators calls that line the boundary for the bullish case: lose it and the door opens to a "deeper correction". Trader Rekt Capital keeps pointing to overhead resistance on the three-day chart.

Another gauge is ETF flows. Bitcoin ETFs lost $1.16 billion, but Andre Dragosch at Bitwise calls the outflow short-term and says institutions have mostly kept their exposure. Political risk is gone as a date on the calendar but remains as a process, and the market will price it as committees take shape.

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